Biotechnology is a cornerstone of all our lives: Microorganisms help produce oxygen through photosynthesis, convert atmospheric nitrogen into forms that plants can use, and decompose organic matter, and their fermentation properties are at the core of bread baking and beer brewing. Recently, technological breakthroughs in biological sciences such as genetic engineering, combined with advances in AI and engineering, have made it possible to produce sustainable, bio-based solutions in many fields, including food, cosmetics, medicine, and chemistry.
These breakthroughs have given rise to an emerging sector known as “advanced biotechnology.” Just how significant could its economic and environmental benefits become?
To address that question, 11 companies and not-for-profit organizations in industries such as food, cosmetics, and manufacturing, with knowledge and analytical support from McKinsey, collaborated on a research report that seeks to evaluate the potential economic and environmental impact of advanced biotechnology on a global scale over the next 15 years to 2040. The report, Harnessing the economic and environmental benefits of advanced technology, provides a fact-based and forward-looking analysis of how advanced biotechnology could be used in four industry sectors: agriculture and food, chemicals, personal care, and transportation fuels. The promise of the biotechnology applications in these and other sectors stems from its potential impact on sustainability and delivery of tangible performance gains in the end products.
Advanced biotechnology’s full-potential effects
If the full potential of advanced biotechnology could be achieved, the results by 2040 would be substantial for the economy and the environment. The research estimates that advanced biotechnology could do the following:
- generate up to $1 trillion in economic value
- reduce CO2-equivalent emissions by three to four gigatons, or the equivalent of 5 percent or more of 2022 global emissions
- result in repurposing between two and four million square kilometers of land, about the size of India
- save 250 to 500 billion cubic meters of water, or the equivalent of three to six times the annual water flow in the Nile